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By: Daniel Gant
February 20th 2014 12:45pm GMT, London UK

The EUR/USD pair, despite very important report which came out, did not move significantly. The pair remained between 1.3725 and 1.3765 the whole day. The pair was traded around 1.3765 before the FOMC Meeting Minutes report where traders expected some changes in the monetary policy with respect to weaker U.S. data. When the report came out the pair dropped to 1.3725 but reversed and untill now has almost erased that drop. The report was quite mixed. The Unemployment rate might reach its target soon (6.5% target and the actual number is 6.6%) which means that Fed should increase their interest rates afterwards. However, the Unemployment rate is not the only one labor market indicator and the others (e.g. Non-farm payrolls) are coming out worse-than-expected. The pace of tapering monetary stimulus should remain the same. Those information should be more positive for U.S. Dollar but it seems that it is not enough for traders or it is already priced in. Today we should watch the German Flash Manufacturing PMI at 8.30AM (GMT). At 1.30PM (GMT) the U.S. Inflation data will be released. The pair is moving sideways.

Contrarily from EUR/USD, the GBP/USD pair was moving significantly. First before the U.K. labour data we saw some bullish speculation which pulled the price to 1.6730. However, the Unemployment rate came out slightly below expectation and that pushed the pair down to 1.6635 means almost 100 pips. The sentiment changed with worse-than-expected U.S. housing data and the pair climbed back up but fell after due to the FOMC report. Today at 11.00AM (GMT) the U.K. CBI Industrial Order Expectations index will be released and might be followed by higher volatility. At 1.30AM (GMT) we should pay attention to U.S. CPI data which is now expected to be 0.1% increase. The trend is slightly bearish.

The USD/JPY pair was moving up before FOMC Meeting Minutes report and reached 102.45 level. With mixed sentiment the pair then started to range and as the Chinese HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMI came out the pair fell to 101.75. Yen as a safe-haven currency has been always benefiting from the signs of weaker Chinese economy. The pair might now bounce on its support and partially recover the drop before the U.S. CPI data which will be released at 1.30PM (GMT).

The price of Gold was traded sideways during yesterday’s trading hours until the FOMC Meeting Report was released and the price dropped to $1,309/ounce. The report from the FOMC Meeting in January showed that Fed wants to continue withdrawing the monetary stimulus by $10 billion/month even the U.S. data will slightly decrease. The physical demand for gold has remained weak which made the price to drop more. However, Chinese weak data might cause some appetite for buyin

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Daniel Gant
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Daniel Gant

Broker at GOptions
My strategies have been maintained and reworked for the last four years. Win loss accuracy and a stable method of volume production has insured my clients inside my personal portfolio success, not to mention the education, guides and management sessions that I teach daily.

I am not guaranteeing you success, but i am guaranteeing you that i will be providing you with my knowledge, training, time, strategies, technical analysis, fundamental analysis and all the tools that you will need to have a successful trading account.
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